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Early Typhoon Maysak poses threat to the Philippines, Caroline Islands

Posted by [email protected] on March 28, 2015 at 9:15 AM Comments comments (0)

An uncommon occurrence has happened over the Northwestern Pacific: A strong typhoon approaching the Central Philippines in April. This early in the season tends to have less tropical activity, and if ever there is, then it turns out to be weak. There are some occurences of these storms, notably a long runner Super Typhoon Kujira (Amang) in May 2003 which impacted the Federated States of Micronesia and eastern seaboards of Luzon. Last year, tropical storm Peipah, known in the Philippines as Domeng, was unable to intensify due to unfavorable conditions, mostly from the high vertical wind shear.

Severe Tropical Storm Maysak is currently located about 200 km east of Chuuk. It is packing 10-minute maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h (55 knots) with gusts of up to 150 km/h (80 knots), with an atmospheric pressure of 985 hPa. Maysak is moving at a forward speed of 15 km/h (8 knots), westward. 

Infrared image from NOAA-SSD

The thing about Maysak that I am struck of is that it was able to intensify, and is forecast by both the JMA and JTWC to be a strong cat 3-4 typhoon (JMA thru Koba scale) as it is aided by anomalously above normal SSTs (sea surface temperatures) and low vertical wind shear. Storms like these generally occur during El Niño years, which means it is not unusual for Maysak because there is currently a weak El Niño occuring. Maysak is currently under the influence of a subtropical ridge which would enforce a westerly movement.

Watches and warnings have now been issued by the National Weather Service. For more details, please see the home page.

Hagupit clears Northeast Visayas, heads towards Southern Luzon

Posted by [email protected] on December 7, 2014 at 9:25 AM Comments comments (0)

Hagupit (Ruby) is now bearing down Masbate, and it has been in a weakening trend since 2 days ago. However, despite weakening, Hagupit remains a very dangerous and threatening typhoon. As of 8PM Philippine Time, Hagupit is packing winds of 75 knots (140 kph; 85 mph) with wind gusts of 105 knots (195 kph; 120 mph) as it slowly moves west-northwesterly towards Romblon.

There are several reports of damages over Leyte and Northern Cebu, despite that Hagupit beared down about several kilometers to the south of the typhoon, especially over Tacloban, Ormoc and Bantayan. Posts were downed by the strong winds, low-lying areas were flooded by the continuous heavy rains and in some areas, storm surge damage over the northwestern portions of Cebu.

Storm surge recorded in Toledo City, Cebu just a few miles or kilometers to the west of Cebu City.

To the north, Samar has unconfirmed reports of casualties after a landslide in a small community over the North part.

Typhoon Hagupit weakens, remains a threat to the Philippines

Posted by [email protected] on December 5, 2014 at 9:45 PM Comments comments (0)

Typhoon Hagupit, locally known in the Philippines as Ruby, is located to the east of Can-avid, Eastern Samar, over the Visayas region of the Philippines. It is expected to move west to west southwest at 10 km/h in a weak steering environment. It has weakened since its peak, nevertheless, it remains a threat to a large part of the Philippines due to its size.

It is the second major storm to affect the Philippines this year, months after typhoon Rammasun had battered the southern and central portions of Luzon, which cause massive power outages and destruction. It roughly follows the track of one the largest weather disasters in the planet last year, typhoon Haiyan, although it had it several miles to the south. Hagupit is expected to make landfall over the central portion of Eastern Samar by Saturday evening local time, as it moves very slowly. The typhoon brings the threat of flash floods and mudslides due to its precipation, and as it gets a higher accumulation due to its slow movement over the affected areas. 

Recent forecasts have shifted more to the south, mainly due to better agreement with the model guidance and other agencies. Though the exact location of landfall is unknown, it is expected to bring powerful winds near Tacloban.

Over the past few days, there had been considerable uncertainty in the storm track. However, the agencies and models have gradually shifted toward the south and west, but it still remains.

The main threat of the typhoon is its rainfall, as it is expected to bring an abundant amount especially to the mountains of Samar and Leyte. Evacuations are taking place especially over Southeastern Luzon and most of Visayas. 

Now I hope the preparations could be enough, and there would be less impact than the previous storms which passed this area...

No classes!

Posted by PerocilloJoaquin on November 6, 2013 at 7:25 AM Comments comments (0)

BREAKING: No classes in all levels (elementary, high school and college) in public and private schools in the entire #Cebu Province on Nov. 7 and 8, 2013.


--via Cebu Provincial Government